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Table 5

Probabilities associated to the 2014–2016 salmon runs (real data) in the Garonne-Dordogne basin.

    Year of salmon run  

Probability Equation 2014 (%) 2015 (%) 2016 (%) Average (%)
[7] 35.2 31.2 29.8 32.1
[1] 93.5 91.9 94.7 93.3
[4] 98.8 98.5 98.8 98.7
  1.8 1.7 2.2 1.9
[9] 34.0 30.0 28.3 30.7

P (wild) is the estimated proportion of wild-born fish, P(wild|other) is the probability that a given animal is wild-born if it is assigned as “other” than AssW, P(hatchery|AssW) is the probability that a given animal is hatchery-born if it is assigned within the mating plan (AssW), P (NC) is the proportion of non-compliant parents in the reference hatchery mating plan for a given run year, and P  (wild) is the estimated proportion of wild-born fish taking into account the proportion of non-compliant parents.

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